Chapter 7 · Parsing the Structure Figure 7.1—The magnitude reads: EM, RM, Consumption Ratio Worked-example session diagram, drawn to one price scale, showing the three magnitude reads. EM = 38 points, the distance from the open to EM+ (and to EM−), forecasts the envelope; the session high prints 10 points above the open and the session low 8 points below it; RM is the session high minus the session low; Consumption Ratio is RM divided by EM. Structure says where; volatility says when; magnitude says whether. EM+ (open + 38) EM− (open − 38) Open Session high Session low RM = 18 (Realized Move) EM = 38 (open to EM+ or EM−) Consumption Ratio = RM / EM = 18 / 38 = 47% Under 50%: confirms only with a named structural read. Envelope intact. Time of day SPX price The magnitude reads: EM, RM, Consumption Ratio FIGURE 7.1 The magnitude reads: EM, RM, Consumption RatioFigure 7.2—The complete GEX level map All ten GEX structural levels and the two expected-move boundaries in a typical relationship along the SPX price axis, top to bottom: CW beyond EM+; DT, RT, and RB above the flip; PN and GF; ST, SB, PW, and DB below, with PW just inside EM−; EM− at the bottom. DT and DB sit inside the expected-move band. Stroke conventions follow the chart layer: GF solid and heaviest, PN solid and heavy, the zones (resistance, support, and danger) solid, the walls dashed, and the expected-move bounds gray dashed. SPX price CW Call Wall EM+ Expected Move Upper DT Danger Top RT Resistance Top RB Resistance Bottom PN Pin GF Gamma Flip ST Support Top SB Support Bottom PW Put Wall DB Danger Bottom EM− Expected Move Lower Resistance Flip & Pin Support Flip (heaviest solid) Pin (heavy solid) Resistance, support (solid) Danger Zone (gray solid) Walls (dashed) Expected Move (gray dashed) The complete GEX level map FIGURE 7.2 The complete GEX level mapChapter 8 · Regime Identification Figure 8.1—The two regimes Two-panel comparison of the framework’s binary regime model. Dealer Gamma Long, above GF: ranges tend to hold; credit structures are the default. Dealer Gamma Short, below GF: moves tend to extend; the default is to stand down, with a debit spread only on confirmed continuation. There is no third regime. Dealer Gamma Long Above GF—credit structures by default GF Ranges tend to hold. Dealer Gamma Short Below GF—stand down; debit only on confirmed continuation GF Moves tend to extend. The two regimes FIGURE 8.1 The two regimesFigure 8.2—After the cross: the fresh-print gate Three-stage vertical sequence. Stage one: price crosses GF and the regime flips at once. Stage two: the structural map is in transition; no new entries, credit or debit, and open positions run on the hardened stops. Stage three: a fresh GEX print, one whose data state is after the cross (with the 15-minute data delay, the print itself arrives no earlier than 15 minutes after the cross; the data state need only follow the cross), shows the dominant nodes re-formed on the new side of GF, and the map is trusted again. The same gate applies to an unsettled flip at the open, when the CSV crossing and the panel’s smoothed value differ by more than 10 points. After the cross: the fresh-print gate 1. GF crossed The regime flips at once Three consecutive 1-minute closes through GF 2. Map in transition No new entries, credit or debit Open positions run on the hardened stops Regime is settled. Structure is not. 3. Fresh GEX print Data state after the cross; print arrives 15+ minutes after the cross Dominant nodes re-formed on the new side Map trusted again; ordinary rules apply The same gate covers an unsettled flip at the open, when the CSV crossing and the panel’s smoothed value differ by more than 10 points. FIGURE 8.2 After the cross: the fresh-print gateChapter 11 · The Six Trading Prompts Figure 11.1—An abridged Premarket Setup reply An abridged, illustrative reply to Prompt 1, built from the Figure 4.1 rows: the regime line; the level table with strike and basis for all ten levels and the concentrated or distributed reading of each side’s node; and the notes paragraph covering the 20% test, the GF-to-PN check, substitutions, the pre-EM band, and the CSV’s freshness. The complete GEX Suite code that follows the table in a real reply is omitted. An abridged Premarket Setup reply Illustrative · levels from the Figure 4.1 rows · the GEX Suite code that follows is omitted Expected regime: Dealer Gamma Long—SPX 6,602 above GF; no Tier 1 or Tier 2 print. Level Strike Basis Node (20% test) GF 6,597 net-gamma sign change nearest spot PN 6,600 largest total absolute gamma RB 6,610 first call concentration above PN RT 6,630 heaviest call concentration in the belt, run 6,620–6,630 ST 6,580 dominant put cluster below GF, run 6,580–6,585 SB 6,570 next put cluster below ST, ≥ ¼ of ST DT 6,640 outermost strike above RT, ≥ ¼ of RT DB 6,565 outermost strike below SB, ≥ ¼ of SB CW 6,630 largest call gamma above spot distributed, 9% PW 6,580 largest put gamma at or below spot distributed, 11% Notes: Contested map (Ch. 7): RT and CW coincide; GF within 25 points of PN. The call node, CW 6,630, holds 190 of the band’s 2,151 in absolute gamma (about 9%); the put node, PW 6,580, holds 235 (about 11%). Both sides are distributed, so neither is markedly stronger, and short calls still clear CW by at least 10 points. RT and CW share 6,630, and ST and PW share 6,580. GF sits 3 points below PN: pin confidence degrades from 1:00 PM. No substitutions. EM not yet set: showEM off; every level search and the 20% test use spot ± 50 points (6,552–6,652) until the open, when closes confirm the regime. CSV footer 7:42 AM CT (8:42 AM ET); data state: prior session’s settled close. FIGURE 11.1 An abridged Premarket Setup reply